SERA

 
 

 

Changing the Future of Fuel: The Green Fuel Challenge



"Over time, the Government will aim to reform the tax system to increase incentives to reduce environmental damage"
Statement of Intent on Environmental Taxation, HM Treasury, July 1997

"In the run up to budget 2001, the Government will invite British Industry to develop proposals for practical alternative fuels…[then] the Chancellor will announce major reductions in duty rates for the most promising environmentally-friendly alternative fuels"
Pre-Budget Report, HM Treasury, November 2000


1. Introduction: Prudence with an Environmental Purpose
The Government’s determination to reform the taxation system for environmental benefit represents one of Labour’s most significant environmental innovations. With this in mind, the pre-budget report’s announcement of a Green Fuels Challenge presents a further significant environmental opportunity, raising the prospect of a substantial tax advantage for green fuels over traditional ones.

The scene is set for the Government to send strong market signals for the long-term future of our fuel, encouraging sustainable private sector investment and hastening the development of essential green fuels.

Reforms of this nature will open up ‘clear greenbelt’ between Labour and the Conservatives. The Tories seem content to cut the cost of all motoring with no environmental strings attached, while Labour is illustrating that money can be returned to the motorist with a strong environmental purpose.

This briefing sets out the various alternative fuels that exist, summarising their key environmental attributes and their real-world feasibility. We then propose some specific tax reforms that the Government should introduce.

2. The Problem with Fossil Fuel
Our traditional petrol and diesel fuels generate two great environmental problems: climate change and poor air quality.

However, whilst air quality is a big problem today, the introduction of catalytic converters and new EU regulations will lead to a significant improvement in urban air quality.

The primary remaining problem is climate change. The UK transport sector accounts for approximately 25% of our CO2 emissions, making it the UK's 3rd largest – and fastest growing - source of greenhouse gas emissions. These trends must be reversed if we are to reduce our CO2 emissions by 60% or more by 2050.

Progress has been made to date without dramatically altering our fuel. The Government’s Fuel Duty increases between 1996-99 will generate CO2 savings of between 1-2.5MtC by 2010, whilst a voluntary agreement between the European Commission and European Car Manufacturers (ACEA) will reduce average CO2 emissions of new cars by 25% by 2008.

However, the Internal Combustion Engine is a very mature technology and the cost of delivering improvements is increasingly high – many of the improvements that can be implemented have already been delivered, whilst others are just too expensive.

So the future lies in new types of fuel and, ultimately, new types of engine.

3. Defining the Future of Fuel
The automotive industry, the oil industry and the green movement all agree on two fundamental points.

Firstly, that the long-term use of petrol and diesel is not a sustainable option.

Secondly, that the ultimate fuel solution is hydrogen generated using renewable energy. This offers the opportunity to de-couple the strong link between growing mobility and increased environmental damage.

However, uncertainty remains over which fuels will provide the solutions and over what timescales. Some fuels are commercially available today but provide only some of the solution, whilst others provide much more of the solution but are some way off reaching the mainstream market.

The Green Fuels Challenge provides the opportunity for the Government to send strong market signals for the long-term future of our fuel, encouraging sustainable private sector investment and hastening the development of essential green fuels.

SERA recommends one guiding principle to shape this future: that the tax levied on each type of fuel should be explicitly linked to its climate change impact.

4. The Green Fuels
The green fuel options may be separated into two categories – ‘Transitional Fuels’ with immediate commercial prospects, and ‘Solution Fuels’ with a long-term future.

4.1 Transition Fuels
All of the following fuels can be used in conventional Internal Combustion Engines, though modifications may be required. These fuels should be considered as ‘transitional’ fuels that bring significant and immediately available environmental benefits, before the widespread adoption of hydrogen technology (see below) becomes feasible. Moreover, different transitional fuels may be appropriate for different types of use or vehicle.

It should be noted that tax reform can only provide part of the solution – direct financial support and grants can also be critical to the development of new markets.
 

Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)

LPG is a by-product of oil refining and is also found in natural gas fields.

Environmental Benefits
The most significant environmental benefit is improved air quality – very few particulates and almost no sulphur are emitted. However, the climate change benefits of LPG are negligible.

Costs and Infrastructure 
There are currently over 600 LPG filling stations in the UK, a number that is increasing steadily and is expected to double in the next couple of years. Shell aim for 200 by 2002, BP for 300 by 2003.

Conventional cars under 1 year old can be converted to LPG, and LPG models are increasingly available direct from the manufacturer - such as Vauxhall’s “dual fuel” version of the Astra, which can run on both conventional fuels and LPG.

The Government already takes a much lower rate of tax from LPG – 13.4p a litre, about 33%, compared to 61p a litre, about 76% of the price of petrol. Consequently, LPG cars can travel 180 miles on £10 of fuel, compared to 106 miles for petrol cars. (www.est-powershift.org.uk/fuels&vehicles.htm

Verdict
Significant tax incentives and grants are already in place for LPG vehicles, whilst the infrastructure is developing at a reasonable pace.

To maintain the incentive in comparison to conventional fuels, the duty on LPG should be reduced by 3p a litre.

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)
Natural gas is found in underground fields and is usually methane. The UK supply of Natural Gas is mainly derived from the North Sea.

Environmental Benefits
Natural Gas vehicles bring benefits for both climate change and air quality. Greenpeace report that Natural Gas vehicles produce 24% less CO2 and 61% less NOx than petrol vehicles (climate benefits), and no particulates whatsoever (air quality benefits).

Natural Gas vehicles are also quieter, reducing the noise impact of night-time deliveries.

Costs and Infrastructure
The Government already takes a much lower rate of tax from NG – 13.4p a litre, compared to 61p a litre for petrol. Consequently, NG cars can travel 190 miles on £10 of fuel, compared to 106 miles for petrol cars.

NG is suited to large lorries and buses - the size of fuel tanks can make NG unsuitable for small vehicles. Conversion costs are around £10k - £12k for lorries and £2k for cars. As with LPG, grants are available from Powershift for 40 – 75% of the costs of buying or converting to a NG vehicle, which is estimated to have a two-year pay back period

The main obstacle to NG is the lack of re-fuelling infrastructure, with only 20 filling stations available at present – though some fleets have chosen to install their own infrastructure. Interestingly, BG is developing new home re-fuelling technology that can fit into a home garage.

Verdict
To maintain the incentive in comparison to conventional fuels, the duty on NG should be reduced by 3p a litre. Moreover, NG also has climate benefits over LPG, though is taxed at the same rate – so the Government should reduce the duty on NG by a further 3p, making a 6p reduction in total. 

The Government should also provide incentives to improve the availability of NG by funding an increase in the re-fuelling infrastructure. Annual grants of £20m a year would be sufficient to fund 200 new re-fuelling points a year, and additional Powershift grants could be made available for home re-fuelling technology.


 
Bio-diesel 
Bio-diesel is derived from new or used vegetable oils, such as oil seed rape, soya or sunflower.

Environmental Benefits 
Greenpeace estimate that Bio-diesel produces approximately 60% fewer greenhouse gas emissions than conventional fuels. A large reduction in particulate emissions also brings significant benefits for air quality – though higher NOx emissions make Bio-diesel less suited to urban areas. 

There is a concern that more environmentally beneficial agricultural land uses than oil seed rape exist, such as growing woody biofuels for heat and power generation. 

Costs and Infrastructure 
Bio-diesel can be used in existing diesel engines without modification, though there is not nearly enough agricultural land for all or even most diesel vehicles to rely on it.

In Germany there are 150,000 cars running on bio-diesel using over 1000 filling stations, whereas in the UK there are zero. We even export oil seed rape to France for use in bio-diesel, where it remains exempt from tax.

Bio-diesel currently receives no support from the Government. 

Verdict
The duty on bio-diesel should be set at below that for Natural Gas – tax incentives are particularly important because of the high price of bio-diesel input products. The Government should seek to open up a bio-diesel market in the UK, so that existing oil seed rape production no longer needs to be exported. However, large-scale production of oil seed rape for bio-diesel should be rejected as an option.
 


 
Electric
Electric vehicles do not use an Internal Combustion Engine, but unlike fuel cell vehicles, are available today.

Environmental Benefits
Electric vehicles produce no exhaust pollution, so greenhouse gas emissions are dependent on the method used to generate the electricity. When using gas-powered generation, Greenpeace estimate savings in the region of 37% for CO2 and 79% for NOx compared to diesel. In addition, the lack of exhaust pollution brings significant urban air quality benefits.

Honda and Toyota have both introduced hybrid versions of the electric car, with a petrol engine working alongside an electric motor. The power pack is recharged as the car brakes or travels downhill, and is then used as additional power when accelerating. Consequently, the Honda Insight achieves 83 mpg, whilst the Toyota Prius produces around half-conventional CO2 emissions.

Costs and Infrastructure
There are a number of obstacles to the widespread adoption of electric vehicles, such as the lack of re-fuelling points and the short range of only 50 – 100 miles. However, many companies have demonstration models and new ‘high-performance’ batteries are being developed for greater range. Recently, Ford introduced a “Think” range of vehicles. 

Batteries can be expensive – usually leased for up to £100/ month, though the re-fuelling costs are very low. Powershift estimate that it costs 1p a mile on fuel for an electric car, compared to 10p a mile for a conventional petrol vehicle. 

Verdict
The Government should provide additional financial support to overcome the problems of cost and infrastructure, including Powershift grants for the purchase of new vehicles and funding for re-fuelling points. Extra environmental gains can be made by making grants for re-fuelling points conditional on renewable energy tariffs. 

Domestic use of electricity is only subject to a small level of tax (5%), so no alterations are required here.

4.2 Solution Fuels
 
 

Hydrogen Fuel Cells.

The Automotive Industry is gearing itself up for a fuel cell future. All the major manufacturers have a fuel cell development programme, with the larger companies having spent sums in the region of $1bn each to date, with much more to come.1  Ford and DaimlerChrysler estimate that they will have fuel cell vehicles in production by 2004, Honda by 2003.

Fuel Cells operate by combining hydrogen with oxygen to produce power, with emissions limited to harmless water vapour. In practice the hydrogen can be delivered to the fuel cell via different routes – the Petrol Fuel Cell, using conventional or reformulated petrol to deliver the hydrogen, and the pure Hydrogen Fuel Cell.

This briefing focuses on the pure Hydrogen Fuel Cell, since the Petrol Fuel Cell brings zero climate change benefit and should not be considered as part of the long term future.

Environmental Benefits
The hydrogen fuel cell vehicle has the potential to deliver the greatest environmental benefits of all the fuelling options. The level of climate change benefit is dependent on how the hydrogen is generated. If derived from natural gas, then savings of nearly 60% CO2 can be achieved. More significantly, generation from renewable energy opens up the prospect of climate-neutral transport.

Moreover, with vehicle emissions limited to water vapour and a massive reduction in particulates, the air quality benefits will be great.

Costs and Infrastructure
Hydrogen is the most efficient of all fuels, but also the most difficult to handle. There are significant hurdles in terms of storing the hydrogen in the vehicle, developing hydrogen refuelling infrastructure and agreeing industry wide standards.

For these reasons, hydrogen fuel cells are likely to be adopted first by buses, which are able to carry large fuel tanks and refuel at their own depots. Indeed, the first hydrogen fuel cell buses have completed trials in the USA, and a major trials are due to take place in Europe in 2002 when 30 Daimler buses will be introduced in 10 European cities.

The costs of a re-fuelling infrastructure are very high, though overheads are likely to fall with standardisation and mass production.

Verdict
The fuel cell using hydrogen generated from renewable energy must be considered the ‘end-game’ objective of green fuel development. 

They should not be preceded by the use of Petrol Fuel Cells - whilst these have the advantage of not requiring a new refuelling infrastructure, retrofitting for pure hydrogen could be as difficult and costly as developing the hydrogen infrastructure in the first place.

The Government should seek to play an active role in speeding up the adoption of hydrogen by establishing - as in the USA - a Hydrogen Working Group to study options and establish standards for hydrogen infrastructure. 

The Government should also send a strong market signal on the future of hydrogen fuels by stating its intention to tax gas-generated hydrogen lower than that for Natural Gas, and renewables-generated hydrogen at zero


 
Hydrogen
As an alternative to fuel cells, BMW are developing the use of hydrogen fuel in conventional Internal Combustion Engines.

Environmental Benefits
As with hydrogen fuel cells, this option brings significant air quality and climate change improvements. The level of climate change benefit is dependent on how the hydrogen is generated - if derived from natural gas, then savings of nearly 60% CO2 can be achieved, whilst generation from renewable energy opens up the prospect of climate-neutral transport

Costs and Infrastructure
BMW is undertaking significant development work and has 15 demonstration models, which it plans to offer as part of its 7-series range in 2001.

Moreover, BMW is planning liquid hydrogen refuelling infrastructure near its dealerships, expecting significant coverage in Germany by 2005.1  This bypasses the need for conventional retailers to invest in hydrogen infrastructure.

Verdict
This option offers a potentially exciting alternative to the fuel cell future. As with the hydrogen fuel cell, SERA recommends that the Government states its intention to tax gas-generated hydrogen lower than that for Natural Gas, and renewables-generated hydrogen at zero.

In addition to these fuel tax reforms, there are other changes that the Government can make to accelerate the use of alternative fuel vehicles, such as a further reform of Vehicle Excise Duty. If a much larger variation of VED was established between different types of model, then the financial incentive to buy alternative fuel vehicles will be increased further – VED can have a big role to play in the uptake of energy efficient and alternative fuel vehicles. 

5. Technology is not enough
These technological solutions to climate change and poor air quality should not divert attention from the need to encourage social and behavioural solutions to environmental problems.

Even hydrogen technologies, whilst bringing significant benefits, can shift pollution further upstream - a transformational switch to renewable energy is required if we are to reap the full benefits of hydrogen technology.

Moreover, emissions are also dependent on the number of cars and the length of journeys. Given traffic growth projections, a 50% net reduction in CO2 emissions may require a 75% reduction in emissions per car. Technology is only part of the solution - seeking to reduce vehicle use and provide alternatives to the car must remain an essential component of transport policy.

Additionally, these technological fixes will do nothing to tackle all the other economic, social and environmental problems associated with the motor car. These include, for example, the economic cost of congestion, the negative impact of trunk roads on the British Countryside, the problems of high speed and accidents, and the social exclusion of those without access to suitable transport. For all of these, social and behavioural changes are still required.

6. Conclusions
The Green Fuels Challenge has the potential to change the future of our fuel. By rewarding the greenest fuels the Government can establish significant incentive for market transformation and private sector innovation.

Moreover, by painting a clear picture of the preferred ‘end-game’ of fuel, the Government can begin to chart our way to a more sustainable transport system. Ultimately, the Government can raise the prospect of de-coupling greater mobility from increased environmental damage.
 

Fuel  Transition Fuel? Solution Fuel? Climate Change Benefit? SERA 
Recommendation
Liquefied Petroleum Gas  Yes  No No 3p Cut
Natural Gas Yes No Approx. 24% CO2 reduction 6p Cut plus funding for refuelling infrastructure
Bio-diesel  Yes No Approx. 60% CO2 reduction Duty set at below that for Natural Gas
Electric  Yes  Possible Approx. 37% CO2 reduction, can grow. Funding for refuelling infrastructure and vehicles
Hydrogen Fuel Cell No  Yes Between 60% - 100% CO2 reduction Duty set at below that for Natural Gas, and at zero if generated by renewables

Establish hydrogen working group

Petrol Fuel Cell  No  No  No  Government should eliminate as an option
Hydrogen  No  Yes Between 60% - 100% CO2 reduction Duty set at below that for Natural Gas, and at zero if generated by renewables

Footnotes
1 Automotive Fuels, David Hart, Informa Publishing, 2000